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Projections II      
Projections for the University of Michigan Ann Arbor Campus
using Flu Surge and Flu Aid models based on pandemic outbreaks in 1918 and 1968
 
 
 UM*1918 scenario1968 scenario
Total outpatient visits7,500 *7,500 
Total hospital admissions1,059 144 
Total Deaths179 22 

* UM pop = 45,000
* For both scenarios, the number of outpatient visits with a 35% attack rate would be about 7,500 in a 12 week period.
 
 
 
 
 
 
Projection based on 1918 numbers

Projection based on 1968 numbers